Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.056092 0.063790 0.071678 0.080335 0.089536 0.098997 0.109432
2025-08-31 0.041665 0.052602 0.064408 0.077953 0.092932 0.108868 0.126992
2025-09-07 0.034103 0.047048 0.061625 0.078925 0.098602 0.120030 0.144889
2025-09-14 0.029027 0.043382 0.060154 0.080620 0.104420 0.130799 0.161851
2025-09-21 0.025971 0.041610 0.060457 0.083976 0.111798 0.143045 0.180223
2025-09-28 0.022432 0.038762 0.059095 0.085045 0.116261 0.151765 0.194433
2025-10-05 0.022086 0.039939 0.062599 0.091891 0.127455 0.168180 0.217387
2025-10-12 0.018604 0.036514 0.060026 0.091082 0.129369 0.173701 0.227727
2025-10-19 0.016546 0.034831 0.059514 0.092681 0.134056 0.182370 0.241629
2025-10-26 0.014328 0.032659 0.058175 0.093091 0.137185 0.189117 0.253228
2025-11-02 0.012772 0.031303 0.057810 0.094649 0.141647 0.197391 0.266570
2025-11-09 0.010914 0.029242 0.056319 0.094624 0.144053 0.203138 0.276882
2025-11-16 0.008363 0.025751 0.052705 0.091808 0.143068 0.204986 0.282859
2025-11-23 0.006314 0.022759 0.049595 0.089524 0.142670 0.207512 0.289649
2025-11-30 0.005302 0.021534 0.049014 0.090609 0.146536 0.215214 0.302611
2025-12-07 0.004568 0.020732 0.049009 0.092443 0.151337 0.224047 0.316927
2025-12-14 0.004239 0.020758 0.050282 0.096059 0.158460 0.235757 0.334725
2025-12-21 0.003533 0.019767 0.049851 0.097210 0.162318 0.243397 0.347591
2025-12-28 0.003877 0.021394 0.053735 0.104569 0.174396 0.261306 0.372953
2026-01-04 0.002955 0.019637 0.051941 0.103700 0.175550 0.265558 0.381701
2026-01-11 0.002505 0.018997 0.051957 0.105416 0.180114 0.274062 0.395622
2026-01-18 0.001965 0.017913 0.051136 0.105857 0.182939 0.280361 0.406838
2026-01-25 0.001628 0.017344 0.051167 0.107528 0.187401 0.288716 0.420569